Shocker of all shockers in this maniacal President campaign.  FBI Director, James Comey, suddenly announced they are pursuing Hillary Clinton further in her endless scandals.  No warning.  Democrat’s are furious coming eleven days before election day.

It’s bizzare.  CNN’s Gloria Borger “Hillary is going to have to address this issue.” Early Friday afternoon while campaigning,  Mrs. Clinton continues with her usual campaign. Director Comey is a savvy Washington insider.  No way would he drop this bombshell without good reason.  Early word is the new evidence is outside the bounds of the original investigation according to NBC’s Pete Williams.  Says Williams the issue will drag on well after the election.  Eleven days is not enough time for court issues, search warrants and more.   Apparently a different device is involved with emails or laptops. Says Williams…”It is politically significant. Legally it may not be.”   He hopes at least.

Now this gift to the Trump candidacy has to be handled adroitly.  The “lock her up” chants have already started. Trump must not shift around new info without stepping upon it.  But, he has already used it to major advantage at rallies today.  All are asking the question why now?  At present everything is speculation.  Nobody in either camp knew this was coming. A total shocker.

This is more than a gift to Trump.  It may have huge implications upon the critical Senate campaigns where the Dem.’s had hopes to regain a majority.  24 GOP Senators are on the ballot now versus only ten Democrat’s.

One thing is clear.  FBI Director Comey was fully aware of what this all means coming at this time. He must have something significant.  We may know nothing further before the election. Now we wait to see the effect on the Presidential election.  It seems to jacksjargon that Comey would be wise to not disclose more details than he has already.

Personal note, voting early today in Las Vegas, pollsters who have worked many Presidential elections said this mornings turn out much greater than normal.

So now we wait.  The squeeze is on the FBI.  Can they handle the enormous pressure forthcoming.  This all seems surreal.

Stay with jacksjargon.com for updates.

Note:  (This blog was written just prior to national major scandal news breaking Thursday morning.  Focused on the front page in the New York Times, Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal. See Morning Joe Video on my facebook page.  The Clinton Foundation’s main man , Doug Band, while securing donations was seeking and receiving side monies directly for Bill Clinton in the amount of $66 million +.  All time sleazy. This story will be hard to hide in the bias media. Plus, the Media Research Center reports 91% of all media reports were anti Trump.)

When I see Donald Trump making stop after stop everywhere in the key States, I think of that old Energizer Bunny ad…he keeps going and going.  Should he make a spectacular comeback, I am sure of one thing.  He will work and work hard and demand the same from his administration.  CNN’s Donna Bash had the gall to ask Trump Wednesday at the ribbon cutting of his new Washington D.C. Hotel if he isn’t (more or less) wasting time when he should be out campaigning.  To wit Trump said…I can’t believe you’re asking me that.  I made eight  stops Tuesday and the same for today and what’s Hillary doing.   She makes one appearance and goes home and sleeps.”  Vintage Trump.    (Hillary was at an Adele Concert)

The truth is there is no question Trump is seriously on the move momentum wise. Hillary’s lead nationally cut down to 3% from 8% ten days ago in new Fox Poll..  Trump now has taken the lead in Florida.  A shocking new one just out…he has come all the way back in Nevada and now tied with Mrs. Clinton. His gains are showing up most everywhere.  Hillary has out spent him 3 and at times 4 to 1 in ads.  Republican Party Chairman, Reince Priebus, is pleading with Trump to add 50 million more for TV ads.

So where is Hillary?  Why the let up?  Could be one of three things or all three issues. She’s sitting on her lead coasting.  She’s fearful of being exposed by reporter questions she does not want to answer.  What Presidential candidate ever refuses to take random questions from reporters or hold a press conference?  Except for fluff questions known in advance on comedy and variety shows.  And, jacksjargon continues to believe with her on a serious drug Coumadin to prevent another blood clot in the brain…her six majors falls, one causing a non routine concussion, her health is an issue.

WikiLeaks emails are causing Hillary, Obama also, strong problems.  April, 2015, Mrs. Clinton’s top aide, Huma Abedin, sends an email to campaign manager John Podesta. following the concussion, “She is still not perfect in her head…needing more and more note cards.”  Then The Governor of VA, Terry McAuliffe, likely the Clinton’s closest friend, donates over $600,000 to the wife of the FBI agent who ran the Hillary FBI investigation.  This wife was running for State office.  Smells to high heaven as a conflict of interest. Likely the Clinton’s gave the Governor the money. Obama has said he never knew of her server.  Now emails show he was emailing her back and forth.  And another…Podesta talking with a Clinton Advisor as to why the home hidden email server wasn’t made publicly earlier.  Answer?   Well she, Hillary, simply thought she could get away with it.   The Clinton’s.  If only more of the public paid attention.  It was Hillary Clinton who threatened and hired “hole plugger’s to intimidate Bill’s endless illicit sexual predatory acts.  She was the enabler in chief.  Raised millions in foundation money from Country’s who stone woman to death, punished for being raped among other heinous acts.  And yet the media attempts to destroy Trump for inappropriate sexual vulgarities.  Anyone know what her campaign is about other than I’m a woman and Trump is bad?

Think of this.  Trump gets no help from the media…historically out spent…his own Party is of little to no help.  It’s Trump and Pence against the world.   One thing for sure.  If Trump somehow could pull off the all time biggest comeback, he will owe nothing to anybody.  He will do what he thinks is best for America.

Democrat Congressman Adam Shiff tells CNN’s Wolf Blitzer…”There may be many people polled who simply will not admit they are voting for Trump.  For that reason I take these even more optimistic polls with “A grain of salt.”  (Forwhatitsworth, doesn’t Wolf Blitzer look like an ex U-Boat commander?)  And a huge break for Trump, and Republicans, is Obamacare premiums are sky rocketing nationwide.   Arizona up 125%. Not to mention deductibles are in the neighborhood of $2,000 to $4,000.  “We have to pass this bill to find out what’s in it.” House leader Nancy Pelosi…remember?

And these are the people American’s want for four more years?   Well,  win or lose, the pressure is beginning to concern Democrat’s.  Who knows?  Maybe Hillary will have to go out and campaign at least two times a week.

Stay with Jacksjargon for commentary updates.

Why oh why wouldn’t Donald Trump look Hillary in the eye and ask her “How many payrolls have you ever paid?  How many jobs have you actually created?”  Why oh why not explain…..”Nobody ever got a job from a poor man?”  Why not explain lower tax’s on business creates more jobs and raises wages because of competition?   And  when business and workers make more money they pay more in tax’s that helps reduce the deficit such as under President Kennedy.  Why not explain the actual unemployment rate is 10-12% because 95 million workers have quit looking for work.

Why oh why not rattle off Congressman Trey Gouty questioning FBI Director Comey on: Did she have classified information on her server…yes.   She said she had just one server…true?  No, she had several.  Did she ever send or receive classified information?  Yes.   Did she turn in all her emails as she said back to the State Dept.? No.  Did her lawyers clear all her destroyed emails before destroying them?   No.

Why not describe in detail the horrendous methods how babies are destroyed in partial birth abortion?  How their skulls are crushed.   Why not explain how a woman can have a partial birth abortion by merely saying she has had head aches at Planned Parenthood.  80% of work at Planned Parenthood are abortions.

True, it was Trump’s best debate.  He told her to return money from Countries that abuse woman.  He made some good points.  More under control.  Nixon lost to Kennedy in 1960 because of mafia controlling polls with union workers cancelling Republican votes.   Black Panthers with clubs standing in front of a Philadelphia polling place 2008.  Instead he takes enormous criticism for suggesting the election results can be rigged.

He was better, but no game changer.  He needed a knockout.  Did not get it.  Hillary was just okay.  But, no huge set back.  Hillary Clinton tragically is a shoo in for the Presidency.   An American tragedy.

www.jacksjargon.com

Forget Donald Trump as our next President.  There are only two caviots that could enable him to win.  1. Hillary health problems.  2.  A direct “smoking gun showing Hillary did favors as Sec.of State for money.”  Notice Hillary is no where to be seen on the campaign trail.  Surely she doesn’t need all this time for debate prep for Wednesday’s final show down.  Surrogates galore speaking for her.  But, where is she?  Her health, hidden, is an issue.  She has fallen many times.  And not just at the 9/11 cerermonies.  She has fallen frequently according to husband. Dehydration?  Nonsense.  She fell and broke her arm.  She fell and gave herself a concussion.  She had a blood clot on the brain…dizzy spells…vertigo…needed to wear special glasses for these problems and will remain on a serious drug, coumadin, given as a blood thinner to prevent more clots.  Coumadin causes eating issues in her diet, difficult breathing, Vitamin K has to be prevented at all costs.   Pneumonia isn’t at the cause of all these continuing problems.  No question she is not in good health.

Then there are the problems with the Clinton Foundation.  And wikileak emails indicating her wanting to debunk the Catholic and Evangelical faiths..  Any suppression of abortion and gay marriage is a big Clinton no no.  And daughter Chelsea, recently in charge of the Foundation, was so shocked to see the goings on (“Dad would never allow this”…youth being naïve is not a new thing).  She was upset enough to contact a prestigious accounting firm to review the findings (they found a multitude of errors, irregularities) that led her subordinate who has run matters at the foundation to call her a spoiled brat meddling and in over her head.  Records indicates the Clinton’s doled out millions to Haiti rebuilding monies given to Clinton friends and cronies.  That’s just small potato’s.

The Clinton’s are experts at hiding matters, legal or otherwise, and with the mass media in her corner, nobody will know of these issues unless something happens that is blatant.  Never in my life time have I seen more bias pro Hillary.  Never.  WikiLeaks emails are overwhelming in their disparagement of Hillary and her scandals.  Plus she has lied upon lie about virtually everything and now hides from reporters.  Or her illnesses or both.

With all this known, not likely to happen or be exposed, she has smooth sailing to win the Presidency.   Two main reasons: Presidential elections are decided by people who are politely called low information voters. Or Independents.  Jacksjargon calls them no nothings and semi no nothings.  They know the Country is in bad shape.  But, they have no clue as to why.   They wouldn’t know a conservative from a liberal from a dogwood tree.  They catch glimpses of coverage, but are not informed enough to know what to make of it.  So they decide their vote based on feelings.  Who they think is more likeable or unlikeable in Presidential elections.

The second reason is the video/audio tape of Trumps comments on his sexual advances to woman.  This had been held for months to use in the campaign against Trump.   Now women are coming out of the wood work against Trump.  For 35 years no women came forward.  Now suddenly they are everywhere.  This issue ties into reason number one.   No matter the Country is going to hell in a hand basket.  Real unemployment is closer to 10-12% because over 95 million Americans have quit looking for work.  As bad as the Great depression.  Isis and terrorism is a major problem.  Hillary won’t even call it what it is…radical Islamic terrorism.  Syrians and illegals still a dangerous problem with the immigration issue.  Hillary wants five times more Syrian refugees to come here. The middle east is dangerously out of control thanks to Obama and Hillary.  Our foreign policy is no foreign policy.  Iran running wild with the billions we gave them sponsoring attacks against the USA.  We just past the 600 billion dollar deficit mark for 2016.  The Feds still with a zero interest rate have created a huge bubble.  According to Reagan’s ex budget chief, David Stockman, with baby boomers retiring and with our huge growing debt we are facing another big recession or worse.  Top business spokesman Carl Icahn and Mark Cuban say don’t put a dime in the stock market.  Stay liquid.

Horrendous as this all is, the no nothings and semi no nothings will vote for Hillary because he talked about his sexual efforts upon woman.  The impact of seeing it out weighs the mess our Country is in.  Nuts I know.   But reality yes.  Post Hillary’s election, nothing will get done because the House of Representatives can stop her legislation… with one exception.  She will use Presidential power to allow more Syrian and other country’s refugees.  Investigations into her scandal will continue and Stockman thinks impeachment movements will begin.

As for Trump, he needs nearly a clean sweep of all battleground States.  Forgetaboutit. At present he is close to losing traditional Republican States.   Georgia, Utah, Arizona and North Carolina.  The only hope is Wednesday nights debate where it is the only time the public actually sees and hears from Hillary.  And Chris Wallace, as his famous father Mike Wallace, will ask tough questions of both.  Trump may be good…better than her again. Just hope he doesn’t take the Senate down with him.   It’s 50-50 at present.  And after all this endless campaigning down goes Trump.  He was just too nasty on a video tape.  Aoy yoy yoy.

www.jacksjargon.com

A wise man told me many years ago….”Jack, when you’re boxed into a corner…come out swinging.”  Sunday night Donald Trump came out not only swinging, but landing blow after blow. It is the first time Hillary Clinton was forced by anyone to defend herself against serious charges after always being protected by the media.  Many pundits are saying she was merely playing it safe. Sitting on her lead.  Baloney.  She was forced to defend the indefensible.

After receiving a unrelenting barrage of condemnation from all sides, for two days.  Including Republicans asking him to step down after a video showing how he used vulgar talk and the sexual methods used to obtains favors from women, Trump stepped into the debate with nothing to lose.  His campaign was on the brink of total collapse.   From the onset he was the aggressor.  Mrs. Clinton lost her poise and seemed confounded by being confronted with serious charges and realistic questioning that nobody, especially many overly polite Republicans, have never done before.  It was Trump being Trump, but at his best. Inventive enough, almost over the top, he had flown in four woman who were physically abused by Bill Clinton with one, Juanita Broderick, saying she was not only raped by Bill Clinton but threatened by Hillary Clinton.  Trump said he used words. Not violent acts.  All of them sat in the audience, with Bill Clinton seated near by, as Trump pointed out how one woman, Paula Jones, had to be paid off with $850,000 to end her lawsuit against Bill Clinton.  Who lost his license to practice law and was impeached in the House of Representatives.  Trump made clear, what was known to millions who followed the Clintons for years, Hillary was the enabler who went after these woman with threats and intimidation viciously to keep them silent.  Fear kept many of them quiet.   The older public knows the Clinton’s will stop at nothing to gain power and wealth.  The “Bonnie and Clyde of America.”  Or the  more contemporary  Francis and Clair Underwood of the famed Netflix series House of Cards.  At one point Trump said if he is elected he will get a special prosecutor to look into her email scandal.  “You ought to be ashamed of yourself.”  Hillary responded it’s good Trump is not in charge of law in our Country.”  He responded “You’d be jail.” invoking a roar of laughter.

Comments from media pundits….CBS Bob Schieffer “This was just disgraceful.”  ABC’s Matthew Dowd…”if this was poker, she didn’t lose any of her chips.”    But Morning Joe’s Joe Scarborough and co host Mika Brzezinski saw it quite differently.  “The media may not want to hear it, but that was Donald Trump’s most effective performance.  There’s not a close second.. She was unsure of herself.  He dominated the debate.”  Said Mika “No Republican in America could have done what he did. He produced a day long show that rocked the political world. It was vintage Trump.  It was epic.”

A snap CNN post debate poll said Hillary won, but, as they admitted, it was overloaded with Democrat’s.   The vast majority of partisan media pundits say it will make no difference in the race.  I urge any of you who missed some or all some of the debate to go to you.tube.com.  Frank Luntz’s group said Trump won.  No contest.

Trump took Mrs. Clinton to task on her awful behavior for the last 25 years.  Republican’s have been waiting for someone to expose her for years.   Nothing Trump said about Hillary was untrue. Trump even said the Gold Star family who lost their son, the Democrat convention denouncing of Trump, “He’d be alive today if I were President.”  “Two hundred emails from our post in Benghazi asking for more security were denied as our four men died.”    He missed almost nothing.

So what does it all mean?  Don’t listen to the media pundits on either side of the political spectrum. What they say is partisan.  All that really matters is what the voters thought while watching the debate.  What were they thinking or feeling as they watched.  That’s all that matters.  And, we simply don’t know.  One thing for certain, Trump stopped the bleeding after his campaign was almost over.  But, it was a one for the ages performance by Trump.  Under all that pressure and to do that….simply remarkable.     Oh, in case you don’t know.  Houdini was a magician and the all time greatest escape artist.  Trump pulled a Houdini Sunday night.

Stay with www.jacksjargon.com for at least one update per week.

If a big time movie producer was ever looking to cast someone to play the part of the President of the USA, Mike Pence would have to be his 1st choice.  Not only does he look the part, he played the part as he whipped the daylights out of smug over bearing Hillary Clinton VP candidate, Tim Kaine.   Kaine must of thought he could simply overwhelm Pence from the very start.  Overly aggressive, interrupting Pence 70 times, yes that’s right, 70 times.  Instead he came off looking silly and foolish. He was trying to play a role he was ill suited for.  Trump phoned Pence immediately to congratulate him.  Hillary simply emailed Kaine.

No question millions of Americans looked at that 90 minute episode Tuesday and thought….this is the guy that should be at the top of the ticket.  GOP talk already centering around Pence for a run in 2020 should the worst happen.  He’s a true blue family man, same wife, 5 kids, religious with an all American look and posture.  Now the thought for Republicans is can Donald Trump come anywhere close to what Pence did come this Sunday night for the most critical debate of this campaign.  Trump doesn’t just need a stalemate.  He needs to clearly win.   It’s a town hall format hosted by CNN’s (The Clinton News Network) Anderson Cooper and ABC’s Martha Radatz.  It seems impossible they could be worse than this amateur woman Elaine Quijano, CBS, who shut off Pence on the Clinton Foundation while he still had ample time to talk.   Word is Trump is actually preparing this time.  It’s possible he will do better in this type format where questions will also come from the audience.  And he might have learned a few lessons from his running mate.  Plus, the final debate hosted by Chris Wallace of Fox News, the most important one, on Oct. 19th, a Wednesday, will find Wallace will show no mercy on either candidate.  Nothing like awful Elaine Quijano agreeing with Tim Kaine Tuesday night.  Trump will get very tough questions from Wallace, but finally, so will Hillary.

Trump is now behind almost everywhere with even Ohio seems to be slipping away.  With the media simply looking for even the most minor slip up, Trump has to absolutely stick with his teleprompter, shut up about inconsequential issues, study the issues for once.  It’s still a long shot.  He’s being outspent by Hillary 5 to 1 most everywhere.  But nobody really knows what the enthusiasm gap is like nor what so many quiet Americans are thinking.  I’m still trying to figure out how not paying tax’s because he had no income has to do with anything.  But that’s fodder for the media and the no nothings.

And I’ll trot out Yogi Berra’s old trite line now…”it ain’t over ’til it’s over.”  I was trying to find a way to work in a better Yogism…..speaking of restaurants said Yogi….”Nobody goes there anymore.  It’s just too busy.”      But, never found a way.

Stay with www.jacksjargon.com

I don’t like Hillary Clinton.   I don’t like Donald Trump.  Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is a silly buffoon.   And Mrs. Stein is wasting her time.  So now what?  How can we elect a woman who has lied repeatedly her entire career…and I’ve seen it all.  Exposes our national top secrets and was an inept senator and even worse Sec. of State.  And what many don’t know, Mrs. Clinton was an enabler for all her husband illicit sexual activities  But, even worse, hired and used private henchmen to threaten women who were revealing her husbands terrible acts.  At least one of them, Paula Jones got $850,000 out of her lawsuit against the Clintons.  The others bad mouthed and even threatened.  Doubt it?  Check out Kathleen Willey or Anita Broadwick on youtube.com.  Never mind she took in millions for her Clinton Foundation from Countries that barely let women walk across the street.  Her maniacal lust for power far exceeds any accomplishments or abilities.  And now her entire Presidential campaign is based upon destroying her opponent.  After winning the first debate her smug gloating said it all.  Seek and destroy is the Clinton’s forte.

Then we have Donald Trump.  A man so insecure…so thin skinned that he does not have enough self control to minimize or ignore even the slightest insult.  If it is even an insult.  Wastes valuable time responding to some silly Miss Universe controversy.  Refuses to prepare for important events.  Prefers to wing most everything and time after time creates a new controversy by saying dumb stuff.  Remember the judge was of Mexican decent fiasco.  Before the first debate, Trump was on the brink of taking the lead in a major way over a miserable candidate that most any on that GOP primary stage could have truly had a solid chance of beating this horrendous candidate.  Trump fights like he is still in business.  He has no clue in how to run a Presidential campaign.  Making matters worse he seldom listens to his advisors.   What we have here, in true almost part of our lexicon, “is a failure to communicate.”

Plus the media overwhelming is pro Hillary.  Who every heard of a major story being not paying income tax on no income? Trump loses over $900,000  in terrible real estate times, that loss cannot be written off the next year because he didn’t make that amount the next year, and it’s supposed to be an horrendous.  Only the business illiterates see no tax paid as being a terrible undertaking.  What is most remarkable is that he made one of the all time great business comebacks all lost in the Clinton seek and destroy machine.  The same Democrat seek and destroy mssion that went on against a truly decent man of faith and success in Mitt Romney.  At least, clumsy as he is, Trump is the first Republican who openly fights back.  He just is not good enough at it and is well on his way to losing to one of the nastiest incompetent lying candidates of all time.

Before the debate, Trump, incredibly, had a one point lead in blue State Colorado. Now?  He is down there in double figures.  He’s behind now most everywhere where he was ahead except in Ohio.

So where do we go from here?  Let’s assume Trump will not change.  And the media and Hillary keep pounding away at him.  Well, he could catch a break if his VP nominee, Mike Pence, does well in the Tuesday night debate.  Might stop or slow the bleeding for now.  Trump’s rallies and campaigning the rest of the way won’t stop Hillary’s momentum.  His only chance are the final two debates.  Sunday night, up against Sunday night football (a pretty good one between Green Bay and the New York Giants) so there goes the already gone New York market and the State of Wisconsin.  What Trump needs to do is memorize Hillary’s failure one by one.   Memorize every single lie Hillary  told to the public that FBI Director Jim Comey stated to the Congressional Committee.  Memorize every mistake after mistake Mrs. Clinton made with her Foundation and as Senator of New York.  It’s simply not good enough to merely say “upstate New York was a disaster.”  He needs facts and figures.  Wouldn’t it be easy to visualize a fellow like Senator Marco Rubio nailing her point by point.  It would be devastating.  Hell, I could do it better.

Will Trump actually do his home work and be ready to save our nations future by scoring big in the final two debates?   And should he do well, can he keep his thin skin from saying more stupid needless remarks neutralizing any gains from the debates?   Very very unlikely.

So, who should the average know very little voter vote for?  We know what we will get from Hillary.  More and more government.  More regulations upon business keeping our Country’s growth stymied. Doesn’t anybody realize nobody ever got a job from a poor man?  More liberal Supreme Court justices who will defy the constitution for what they think is more in line with their leftist agenda.  Her main difference is she will be more hawkish than Obama.  Of course, almost anybody would be.  Her track record is an open book.  With Trump we simply don’t know.  In spite of a myriad of flaws, we do know Trump is a leader.  Someone who knows the system and the ups and downs of business and where we should headed.  He will do what he always has done.  Surround himself with good people, listen and then decide after weighing the pro’s and con’s.  He is no conservative.  So he will be very flexible but not a knee jerk reactionary as Hillary tries to scare voters.

There are at least two plus’s at present for the GOP and Trump.  Number one are Trump’s children. No way could anyone see they are not quality young people who love and respect their father.  As a father he had to be good.   And, chances are, as of now, the GOP is likely to hold the Senate.  Although still contentious.  This could halt Hillary’s agenda big time.  But, the Supreme Court vacancies being filled?   Can’t stop that and our Country is not now or ever will be the same.  Always remember, America created the highest standard of living the world has ever known.  In many many cases our poor would be middle class in foreign countries.  How did America do it?   We built it because of labor and business.  Not government.

Stay with www.jacksjargon.com and my facebook page.

While many media pundits said Hillary won the first debate easily many of “the folks” disagreed.  Time magazine’s poll has Trump winning 55%-45%.  However CNN’s poll had Hillary winning 67% to 27%.  But, CNN did admit they polled more Democrat’s. Frankly jacksjargon.com saw it as a win for Hillary.  She was far better prepared, had Trump on the defensive most of the time.  Her massive preparation and experience caused her to shine.  While Trump tried to answer questions, many unimportant dragged up from the past, he never took advantage of pivoting onto Mrs. Clinton’s problems.  One note for Trump, he won the first half hour virtually all agreed upon. The first half hour is the most important.

Many Trump supporters likely woke up feeling down for their man this morning.  Don’t be.  Why?  First debate results fade quickly in voters minds.  The final debate right before the election is a key.  Trump is a quick study who will be better prepared next debate Oct. 9th.  Lester Holt won’t be the moderator.  In the beginning he was fair, but his questions later were on issues the public has little interest such as the birther matter, his tax returns, (polls show the public doesn’t care.  Dem.’s merely want it to find something to exploit as they did to Mitt Romney).   Holt asked Mrs. Clinton nothing on her illegal server in her home…lies to the public and FBI…her wish to add thousands of Syrian refugees…Benghazi and her Libya disaster….the Scandals of the Clinton Foundation…foreign policy blunders…Obamacare…women suffering in Countries her foundation took in millions from.  Trump’s mistake was not bringing these matters up or pivoting to these matters.   He tried to answers some questions forty years old.     The birther issue?   Tax returns?   Forty year old discrimination suit with no final decision?    These are nothing issues compared to what Hillary should have been asked to answer.  Releasing top classified emails, now known even including Obama, endangering our national security.  From peanuts to cashews issues.  Was Lester Holt trying to make up for Matt Lauer?  Looked like it

Next up Oct. 9th will be a town hall debate with questions coming from the audience. This will be far more difficult for Mrs. Clinton.  And, Trump, having experienced his first debate and this town hall format will likely hit her vulnerabilities much more In the open.  Hillary, without her pre rehearsed arsenal, will not be in control as she wishes per last night.  Shown obviously by never having a real press conference or merely getting soft ball questions from adoring reporters.

Then the all important final debate hosted by Fox News Chris Wallace Oct. 19th opposite no NFL action. Rest assured, just as his famous father Mike Wallace, Wallace will won’t be gun shy.  No doubt tough direct questions, far different from Lester Holt, are already formulating in his mind after what he saw obviously missed last night.  By this time Monday nights debate is ancient history and the final debate will be most prominent in the voters mines.

Give Hillary credit for the first debate.   But, Romney clobbered Obama in their first debate…then stumbled…Reagan lost his first debate badly…then beat Walter Mondale in 49 of 50 States.  Plus, Trump’s TV ads are finally running in key States after being pummeled 145 million dollars to none for months.   Then, and only then, will the voters have a more complete picture of who they are voting for.   The ending of a fair fight.

If you listen to new post debate polls, listen for any losses to Trump from college educated people and woman.   But, even if there is a loss, Trump made no glaring mistake Monday night disqualifying himself.  I still like his chances because this election is about change.  And that is not Hillary’s strong suit.  A relic of the past.

www.jacksjargon.com

In 2004 George W. Bush, according to overwhelming sources, lost all three debates to Sen. John Kerry.  And yet, Bush won 286 electoral votes and winning re-election by three million votes.  So winning the debates is not the end all to anything.  However, this year it appears very likely to be a strong determining factor in who will be our next President.  But, winning the first debate, of three, normally determines nothing.  Romney trounced Obama in their first debate.   Mondale beat stumbling Ronald Reagan in their first debate.  Reagan won 49 of 50 States.

With Donald Trump’s strong momentum at present, winning the first debate could be the key to the Presidency.  It will keep and grow his steady gains.  Hillary has now pulled out of Ohio and sending reinforcements to Wisconsin.  The race is dead even.  No question.  One very important factor is the first half hour of the debate.

The question is who will win, in the public’s view, and your view.  First, forget all the pundits summations after the debate.  Depending on which channel you watch the pundits are bias.  The spin room post debate comments are meaningless.  All that matters is the voters view point.  In the past, likeability has been a key.  It is why Bush beat Kerry.  Not a good chance this time.  Mrs. Clinton has proven to be very unlikeable.  And Trump is no bargain either.  If either one can show any humor, it will be a major positive.  Not likely.  Trump must show composure, appear Presidential, avoid showing anger and seem in command.

Here is what either must NOT do.  For Hillary Clinton she needs to stay away from long answers.  It’s boring, wonkish and a turn off to the all important Independents and undecided voters.  They want simple and straight forward answers.  She absolutely cannot lie anymore. She cannot show any health issues.  And if she continues her main strategy of diminishing Trump, he wins.  That has been mostly her entire campaign.

For Trump, he cannot show any odd temperament. He must not be condescending. And he absolutely cannot exaggerate.  A continuous fault.

For Trump to win he needs to stay within his winning core issues.  Terrorism, immigration, the economy, the veterans and especially strong on law and order.  No insults or taunts, but hammer in on the miserable happenings of the last eight years.  This is his strongest argument.  Obama and Hillary’s record as Sec. of State are viewed as failure.   Almost 70% of Americans feel the Country is headed in the wrong direction. Even liberals admit they cannot point to anything of substance Mrs. Clinton accomplished during her four years as Sec. of State or as Senator.  Point in fact, things have gotten worse world wide.   Her willingness to add 50% more immigrants from Syria and other terrorist hot spots.  And, with another FBI email document dump Friday, overwhelmingly hurting her is THE EMAIL SCANDAL AND HER UNTRUSTWORTHYNESS.  The pubic simply does not trust her.

For Hillary to win, she must thrust her experience in government as a Senator, 1st lady and Secretary of State.  She must stand by what she views as accomplishments of the Obama administration.   Point to what she has done in the past to help minorities, women and imply the significance being the first female President.  What she believes needs to be done for immigrants.  She will clearly have an advantage of knowledge of world leaders and the structure of world events.

Summing up, Hillary’s task is much harder Monday night than Trump’s.  In a way she is stuck defending the indefensible.  During the campaign she has not clearly stated why she is running.  That is Trump’s strength.  Mrs. Clinton must prove her superior experience trounces anything Trump can say or do.  But, again, longer answers are generally harmful.

American’s want change.  Her problem is defending the past.  And handing out more of the same.  If “The Donald” can show he is no threat, act Presidential, show American’s positives for the future and appear Presidential, as her equal, he will win.  And a win here shall increase his very strong momentum at present.

Frankly, I would rather be in “his shoes” than hers.   More pressure shall be on Hillary.  She is supposed to be the far superior candidate.   But, her Achilles Heel is the email scandal and the voters awareness of her being untrustworthy.  From that there is no escape.  Or as they say in the boxing world…..”She can run, but she can’t hide.

www,jackjargon.com

Fox Polls have been as accurate as all polls in the past.  With that said, Clinton supporters becoming more and more worried.  Especially considering her campaign has out spent Trump’s campaign 5 to 1.  So what do these results tell you?

Battle ground States of LIKELY voters (not merely registered voters) Nevada…Trump 43%  Hillary…40%…..in critical wavering North Carolina…Trump 45%  Hillary 40%.  In all important Ohio…Trump 42% Hillary 37%.   How come?  Enthusiasm.   Trump rallies draw normally about 10,000.  A good crowd for Hillary Clinton is about 250.  An NBC poll finds on honest and trustworthy…Trump 41%  Hillary 31%.  What is so shocking is the Clinton campaign has spent tons of money into those three States seemingly to no avail.  As for the all important Independent voters….Donald Trump has 20% more in all three of those States mentioned.  In order to win, Trump must win those three States plus Florida and one other State as yet unknown.  Third Party candidates are garnering 12% of the vote.  Likely to lessen at ballot box time.  Past surveys show those votes would hurt Mrs. Clinton more.

Says famed anti Trump columnist Charles Krauthammer….”The reason Hillary hasn’t seized a message is she has no message.  I like children and I will fight for children. What’s that?  The most banal message in political history.”

At present, nobody knows what will happen Nov. 8th.  But momentum is all on Donald Trump’s side.  However, all this can go in a flash with a weak performance on Monday nights debate.  The pressure on both candidates is enormous..   Not to mention the pressure on NBC moderator Lester Holt.  After Matt Lauer was beaten to a pulp in the media after his one hour questioning of both candidates.  Democrat’s were furious because Trump came off the likely winner.  Although Afro American, Holt is a registered Republican. Jacks jargon would hate being any of the three.  Heart attack city.

Donald Trump breaks all the molds of political history.  So where do we go after today? Two make or break items.  In the debates, it’s said Mrs. Clinton is cramming like mad, if she demonizes Trump and he is seen as normal…he wins.   But in the end, remember there are three debates, it likely will all boil down to Trump’s enthusiasm versus Hillary Clinton’s Democrat get out the vote ground game.  Things trending Trump.  But, his road to the needed 270 electoral votes much tougher than hers.

Care to guess?  Your guess is as good as mine.  Stand by for my review of what to look for in the debates on www.jacksjargon.com or my facebook page.