They may be acting like it, but Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have no lock on their Parties nomination. Hillary still faces the FBI report. And, head of the FBI, James Comey, said Thursday he will not be rushed towards any deadline pertaining to Hillary Clinton’s email scandal…including the Democrat’s convention. It all makes sense. Comey must have an air tight case against her before he releases the FBI report and expects the Justice department to follow up with an indictment. Dem. Candidate Bernie Sanders has held his fire on this issue. Smartly, he has been criticizing her JUDGEMENT all along. The report will make it certain. Something bad will come out in the FBI report. How bad? We don’t know. The Democrats joy over the GOP Trump mess will have even a worse time trying to sustain a campaign. The question is…who will be campaigning? No way would the Democrat Party want Sanders. If Hillary Clinton is forced out, Vice President Joe Biden is the likely successor. However, the timing…organizing…getting on State ballots everywhere makes Trump’s adventures minor compared to the potential calamity for the Democrat’s
After his huge win in New York, Donald Trump wants to make it seem he has the GOP nomination locked up. He doesn’t. A teleprompter foreign policy speech coming up has found Trump actually rehearsing. Preparation has never been Trump’s strong suit. But, in the back of his mind he keeps railing at the Republican Party and the delegates being “rigged.” All nonsense. The rules for all States were posted over eight months ago. Trump simply blew it while Ted Cruz was laying the ground work in many States. Next Tuesday finds Northeast primaries abounding. Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, Rhode Island and Connecticut all will be in play and Trump leads in all of them. But, all delegates will be awarded proportionately. No winner take all. Here’s his problem. Said former governor and former head of the Republican Party, Haley Barbour “Donald has been getting up to 40% maximum of the votes so far with New York the exception.” “He will need 58% of all remaining delegates to get a lock on the nomination with 1,237.” Not that easy. After wins in the northeast next Tuesday, here comes trouble. Primaries in Indiana, Nebraska, Montana and South Dakota are far more conservative. Indiana’s Governor Mike Pence is no fan of Trump. And, after that is California with its high unpredictable diversity.
Indiana, May 3rd will either break Trump or keep alive his faint hopes for reaching the needed 1,237 delegates to win the Presidential nomination out right. It has 57 delegates. The winner gets 30 and 27 additional are selected three from each congressional district. The polls there have it dead even between Cruz and Trump. So even if Trump wins the State, he will not get nearly all the delegates. The remaining States are definite question marks for Trump. Says Haley Barbour, “If Trump arrives (at the convention) with 1,100 delegate votes, there is a good chance of picking up 137 uncommitted votes. Under 1,100 delegates, no way.”
So this is why Trumps keeps up with his attacks against the Republican Party. Accusing them of cheating. Votes not being counted he keeps saying. It is because he knows it is overwhelmingly unlikely he will not get the needed 1,237 delegates for the nomination. His aim is two fold. Drum up enough support from released delegates to put him over the top on a second ballot. And to set up deliberate chaos at the convention should he lose out.
Trump creating chaos? That’s his specialty. Best bet right now? Trump will not win the Republican nomination for President and he will not start a 3rd Party movement. He knows he’d lose a third Party campaign. Plus, his gigantic ego would be crushed. He’d rather cause chaos.
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