Politico.com is reporting the likelihood of Speaker of the House Paul Ryan will end up as the Republican Party nominee for President.
Yes, it does make sense. Chances are almost nil Donald Trump will win the Wisconsin primary Tuesday. Ted Cruz will win more delegates and that will virtually clinch Trump will not have the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination on the first ballot of an open Republican convention in July. Neither will Cruz. Without a win on the first ballots cast by delegates, Trump will never get out of the convention with the nomination. No way. Fumbling bumbling Trump is simply at his best as a salesman. Not prepared to be a President as he proved again last week. Really…women should be punished for having an abortion? Campaign manager arrested on charges (unproven nonsense) for accosting a reporter. Drop NATO or totally revamp it? Running a nasty picture of Cruz’s wife. It’s all winging it amateur talk. Senator Ted Cruz is simply hated by his Senate colleagues and most of the Party delegates. Party delegates are mostly Party loyalists who want nothing to do with Cruz where they see no win with him either. A high percentage of all voters in a Presidential elections vote on personality and likability. That is not Ted Cruz. He is getting endorsements in order to stop Trump. And Trump has lost the women’s vote. Can’t win without it.
So with a dead lock looming at the GOP convention, other names will turn up such as Paul Ryan. Here’s the meat of the Politico story. “One of the nations best wired Republicans, with an enviable prediction record for this cycle, sees a 60% chance of a convention dead lock (I believe it is considerably higher) and a 90% chance that delegates will turn to House Speaker Paul Ryan. As Chairman of the National Republican Convention, it will end with him as the nominee of the Party.”
Ohio Gov. John Kasich will attraction attention as well with his success record and the only candidate, at present, who trounces Hillary in all polls taken of the match ups with her. Or, possibly Kasich as Ryan’s Vice President running mate to secure Ohio for the Republicans. However, with the mood of the Country wanting an outsider to vote for, two White establishment guys might not be the best idea. It seems to me a better choice would be an Hispanic such as Rubio. Or even better, a female Hispanic. Governor Susana Martinez of New Mexico immediately comes to mind. A Ryan/Martinez ticket would be very attractive to many who don’t follow politics closely. An experienced highly intelligent youthful Ryan with an attractive personable Hispanic female in Martinez would present the Democrat’s with even more of a challenge than they are now facing.
The typical liberal media keeps reminding everyone what a mess, a rebellion, the Republicans have ignoring Senator Bernie Sanders blowing away Hillary Clinton time after time. She fears Wisconsin Tuesday. She also fears any Sunday morning political programs. Might get a tough question. There is no question the Democrats would find a way to get rid of Sanders should he get close to a nomination. But, he presents all kinds of problems for Hillary who is a terrible campaigner now showing mean temperament and facing FBI reports imminent. The Republicans face a mess? The Democrat’s mess may be messier.
During my life time I have often heard of the demise, or ending of the Republican Party. It doesn’t happen. Why? Because the quality of the candidate takes over during a Presidential election and public votes for whoever appeals to them the most. The key for their Party this time is to somehow smooth over disgruntled Trump supporters without total turmoil. However, when the dust settles and a solid Presidential ticket is campaigning, who would a Trump supporter vote for? Hillary? Laughable. True, some may not vote at all. Trump leading a third Party? Highly unlikely because Trump knows he would not win. Losing is an anathema to Trump’s monumental ego.
In a way, the mess of both Parties might be a good thing. Political interest and voting has been on the wane in the USA. There’s plenty of interest this time around. Even the no nothings might vote in a higher percentage. Might.
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