When watching the first round of Democrat debates over the nights of June 26th and 27th keep in mind it is all about who can get the most DELEGATES before or during the convention. Naturally the nominee of the Democrat Party needs to have the “right stuff.” It has been said many times (especially in the Presidential election) a large number of voters cast their ballot for who they LIKE THE BEST. Not necessarily the most qualified. Nevertheless, the candidate in a debate has to demonstrate knowledge, temperament, what is their plan if elected and do so without being disagreeable.
Off the top, that would eliminate Bernie Sanders. He built his following in 2016 when Hillary Clinton proved to be a terrible candidate. He’s a good speaker, but attracts largely college younger voters and Whites. At this time he is old news. There is virtually no chance he would get the Democrat nomination. Too many others are more presentable and sing the same song. Not to mention this Socialist/Marxist honeymooned in Russia.
Former Vice President Joe Biden has the highest poll numbers at present. That is meaningless. Especially after the first debate. At 76, Biden has not aged well and looks it. He seems slow on his feet and is always gaffe prone. His campaign has almost had him hidden so far. He carries a ton of baggage from three plus decades in congress that will be exposed by the young Turks who oppose him. Traditional Democrat’s want him as the nominee of their Party. However, traditional Democrat’s are outnumbered these days. He may stay a factor…a contender…but the leftists now dominate and he will fade enough not to be the nominee. Democrat’s want someone more dynamic. Dynamic is never a word that applies to sleepy Joe Biden.
So who else then? Elizabeth Warren is getting more attention with her give away plans. But harsh, angry, mean spirited candidates have gone the way of George Wallace. Young nice looking gay Mayor of South Bend, In, Pete Buttigieg has charm and can speak well. And he’s as left as the rest. But, really do American’s really want this boyish inexperienced gay guy conferring with Russia’s Putin or North Korea’s Kim Jung Um? Age ten years Pete and try again later.
So who then? Loud mouth obnoxious Afro American Sen. Cory Booker pushing his reparations agenda. A man in love with himself who just destroyed his candidacy. The best he can do is be a spoiler for a more logical candidate. Bill de Blasio…go home Bill if they’ll take you back…Amy Klobuchar is pleasant and more moderate. But, too moderate for most. Beto O’Rourke? Arms waving and keeps putting his foot in his mouth. The great White hype needs to impress because his campaign has collapsed. Kirsten Flip flop Gillibrand? She betrayed her Party. Say anything for a vote. It shows.
All this leads us to the most logical choice. California Senator Kamela Harris. Her for a number of reasons. Remember it’s all about garnering delegates. 3,768 delegates vote. To win on the first ballot the candidate needs half…1,885. Harris has the best chance even if it goes to a 2nd ballot at the convention. Think about it. Harris is 54. Former District Attorney for San Francisco, California Attorney General and now Senator from California. She can speak well, poised, has a nature that can be pleasant, experienced more than most and possibly most important…she is a minority person with a Jamaican father and a mother from Madres. Her grandfather used to say “I am Black and proud of it.” And most critical…she will win the vast majority of California’s 495 delegates. March 3rd, 2020 is Super Tuesday for Democrat’s. What States involved beside Cal., southern heavily Afro American States such as Alabama, Arkansas, N. Carolina and Georgia. Just those represent 913 delegates. Add Votes from So. Carolina (63) and Illinois (184) and that tallies 1,160. True, not all those States will give her all delegate votes. Some are proportional and some winner take all.
The spoiler for Harris could be Afro American obnoxious Sen. Cory Booker taking away some African American votes. However, when he realizes he has no chance, he’d pledge his delegates to Harris and momentum is huge during a convention. That’s how it looks to jacksjargon.com. President Trump will have huge dollars, the bully pulpit, very well organized in every State using technology to zero in on voter pockets. This won’t be a “seat of the pants” campaign as 2016. He will need to garner more Hispanic votes due to a likely loss of Black votes. It’s doable. Plus, nobody but nobody out works President Trump. Harris vs. Trump. The media will go nuts when they realize it’s four more years.
Jacksjargon.com